DocumentCode :
1800053
Title :
A time series ensemble method to predict wind power
Author :
Tasnim, Sumaira ; Rahman, Aminur ; Shafiullah, G.M. ; Oo, Amanullah Maung Than ; Stojcevski, Alex
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Eng., Deakin Univ., Waurn Ponds, VIC, Australia
fYear :
2014
fDate :
9-12 Dec. 2014
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
5
Abstract :
Wind power prediction refers to an approximation of the probable production of wind turbines in the near future. We present a time series ensemble framework to predict wind power. Time series wind data is transformed using a number of complementary methods. Wind power is predicted on each transformed feature space. Predictions are aggregated using a neural network at a second stage. The proposed framework is validated on wind data obtained from ten different locations across Australia. Experimental results demonstrate that the ensemble predictor performs better than the base predictors.
Keywords :
neural nets; prediction theory; time series; wind power; wind turbines; Australia; base predictors; ensemble predictor; neural network; time series ensemble method; time series wind data; wind power prediction; wind turbines; Linear regression; Principal component analysis; Time series analysis; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Wind turbines; time series ensemble; wind power prediction;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence Applications in Smart Grid (CIASG), 2014 IEEE Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Orlando, FL
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CIASG.2014.7011544
Filename :
7011544
Link To Document :
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