Title :
An evaluating model of risk early-warning based on CFaR for international resource investment program
Author :
Shanghai, Liu ; Zhaoju, Zou
Author_Institution :
Dev. & Planning Dept., Chongqing universty of Sci. & Technol., Chongqing, China
Abstract :
It is growing rapidly that Chinese enterprises invest resource abroad in recent years, but there is a higher percentage of failure. So, this paper presents CFaR (Cash Flow at Risk) evaluation model of risk warning for international resource investments. This evaluation model dynamically reflects the degree of project risk and cash flow status, with using the cash flow as the considering indexes and dynamic methods, overcoming subjectivity of the fuzzy estimation method and the static analysis of other financial forecasting indeses and models.
Keywords :
financial management; forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; investment; risk management; CFaR; Chinese enterprises; cash flow at risk; financial forecasting; fuzzy estimation method; international resource investment program; project risk; risk early-warning evaluation model; static analysis; Analytical models; Equations; Forecasting; Indexes; Investments; Mathematical model; Risk management; CFaR; Early-warning; Internation; Project; Resource; Risk;
Conference_Titel :
Business Management and Electronic Information (BMEI), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-108-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICBMEI.2011.5920536
