Influence of Different Forecasting Modes on Automobile Manufacturing Supply Chain

This article expounds systematically the application of different forecasting techniques in three different automobile distribution logistics modes in automaker companies. The three distribution logistics modes include traditional mode used in Shanghai-Volkswagen and Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co. Ltd, GM mode used mainly in Shanghai GM and BENZ mode adopted in German automobile manufacturing system. Automobile manufacturing supply chain is the most complex supply chain in all manufacturing systems. How to make distribution forecast and main production scheduling (MPS) is one of the main factors affecting the running of the whole automobile supply chain. There are many differences between the forecasting techniques and can make different results on lead time, reliability, part demand fluctuation and so on. Simultaneously, different forecasting modes of long-term, medium-term, short-term and discontinuous point forecasting in final assemble company affect the part supplier on their safety inventory quantity, out of stock loss, just in time (JIT) performance, and so on