DocumentCode
1901255
Title
Asset Pricing under Evolution of Agent´s Behavioral Heterogeneity in an Artificial Financial Market
Author
Yang, Mi ; Ma, Chao-Qun ; Zou, Lin
Author_Institution
Coll. of Bus. & Adm., Hunan Univ., Changsha, China
fYear
2010
fDate
25-26 Dec. 2010
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
5
Abstract
We use the study method of Computational Finance to explore the formation and evolution of asset prices from the standpoint of the evolution of investor individual\´s heterogeneous behavior through building an agent-based artificial financial market. In our model,agent will consider fundamental information and price tendency simultaneously at each period to form expectation that based on personal characters, such as mood,memory length,adjustment and extrapolation speed.The weight that he relies on both fundamental and technical analysis varies over time,which is the best prediction to current market state from empirical rule-set that has been updated through learning from the market situation with Genetic Algorithm (GA) and individual\´s trading experience with Generation Function (GF).The adaptive updating of the weight represents the evolution of agent\´s behavior.The model captures the two prime behaviors of agent and the trade-off between them,which realized by agent\´s adaptively personal learning. Simulation testing shows that even considering agent\´s variation of behavior in the market,the market fraction also has to be composed of the proportions of confident fundamentalists,chartists and adaptively rational agents as empirical evidence suggests, which will cause the so-called "stylized facts" in financial time series,under a market maker scenario.The impact of the market fraction varies on asset pricing also has been examined.
Keywords
financial management; genetic algorithms; learning (artificial intelligence); multi-agent systems; pricing; time series; agent behavioral heterogeneity evolution; agent-based artificial financial market; asset pricing; computational finance; extrapolation speed; financial time series; generation function; genetic algorithm; memory length; personal learning; price tendency; stylized facts; Adaptation model; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Mood; Pricing; Time series analysis;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Engineering and Computer Science (ICIECS), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
ISSN
2156-7379
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-7939-9
Electronic_ISBN
2156-7379
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICIECS.2010.5678353
Filename
5678353
Link To Document