DocumentCode
1922425
Title
Prediction of Asian Steel Price Index Using Fuzzy Time Series
Author
Chou, Ming-Tao
Author_Institution
Dept. of Aviation & Maritime Transp. Manage., Chang Jung Christian Univ., Tainan, Taiwan
fYear
2012
fDate
26-28 Sept. 2012
Firstpage
185
Lastpage
188
Abstract
The Asian steel price index is a leading indicator of the Asian economy. Studying the collection of Asian steel price index data and establishing a fuzzy time series model used to analyze the relationship between the remuneration of the Asian steel price index rate of change in the future. The results of the analysis are as follows. (1) The model showed that the predictive value of the 2012 Asian steel price index is 211.86 and its trading range fluctuates (74.57, 211.86). (2) The Asian steel price index index rate of return is still positive, and the prediction error within the group averages 3.90%; an error range of less than 5 percent indicates a good prediction model.
Keywords
fuzzy set theory; pricing; steel; time series; Asian steel price index; fuzzy time series model; good prediction model; predictive value; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Indexes; Predictive models; Production; Steel; Time series analysis; Fuzzy; Fuzzy time series; Stell price index;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Innovations in Bio-Inspired Computing and Applications (IBICA), 2012 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location
Kaohsiung
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-2838-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IBICA.2012.26
Filename
6337661
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