• DocumentCode
    1922425
  • Title

    Prediction of Asian Steel Price Index Using Fuzzy Time Series

  • Author

    Chou, Ming-Tao

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Aviation & Maritime Transp. Manage., Chang Jung Christian Univ., Tainan, Taiwan
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    26-28 Sept. 2012
  • Firstpage
    185
  • Lastpage
    188
  • Abstract
    The Asian steel price index is a leading indicator of the Asian economy. Studying the collection of Asian steel price index data and establishing a fuzzy time series model used to analyze the relationship between the remuneration of the Asian steel price index rate of change in the future. The results of the analysis are as follows. (1) The model showed that the predictive value of the 2012 Asian steel price index is 211.86 and its trading range fluctuates (74.57, 211.86). (2) The Asian steel price index index rate of return is still positive, and the prediction error within the group averages 3.90%; an error range of less than 5 percent indicates a good prediction model.
  • Keywords
    fuzzy set theory; pricing; steel; time series; Asian steel price index; fuzzy time series model; good prediction model; predictive value; Forecasting; Fuzzy sets; Indexes; Predictive models; Production; Steel; Time series analysis; Fuzzy; Fuzzy time series; Stell price index;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Innovations in Bio-Inspired Computing and Applications (IBICA), 2012 Third International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Kaohsiung
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-2838-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IBICA.2012.26
  • Filename
    6337661