Title :
Prediction of Lithium battery remaining life based on fuzzy least square support vector regression
Author :
Jing Wan ; Qingdong Li
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Autom. Sci. & Electr. Eng., Beijing Univ. of Aeronaut. & Astronaut., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Batteries are essential components of any aircraft electrical system and exhibit aging and health degradation during operation. Therefore, the correct estimation of the battery remaining useful life (RUL) is important to aircraft operators. The prediction methods of existing Lithium battery remaining life mostly have no learning capabilities and nonlinear prediction ability. In order to predict the remaining life of Lithium battery more accurately, an algorithm based on fuzzy least square support vector regression (FLS-SVR) is presented. This algorithm reconstructs the phase space of multivariate time series using improved embedding dimension time delay automatic algorithm. This algorithm determines the embedding dimension m and the delay timeτ. Then, a FLS-SVR model is built according to m and τ. The parameters of SVR are optimized by adaptive chaotic particle swarm optimization (ACPSO). Comparing with the Logistic regression method, the simulation result demonstrates that the FLS-SVR prediction model has smaller prediction error.
Keywords :
aircraft power systems; battery powered vehicles; delays; fuzzy set theory; least squares approximations; lithium; particle swarm optimisation; power engineering computing; regression analysis; remaining life assessment; support vector machines; ACPSO; FLS-SVR model; FLS-SVR prediction; Li; adaptive chaotic particle swarm optimization; aging degradation; aircraft electrical system; aircraft operators; battery remaining useful life; fuzzy least square support vector regression; health degradation; lithium battery remaining life prediction; logistic regression method; multivariate time series phase space; time delay automatic algorithm; Batteries; Delays; Lithium; Optimization; Prediction algorithms; Predictive models; Time series analysis; fuzzy least square; life prediction; phase space reconstruction; support vector regression;
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2013 Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenyang
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2013.6817943