Title :
Short-term demand and energy price forecasting
Author :
Contreras, Javier ; Santos, Jesus Riquelme
Author_Institution :
ETS de Ingenieros Industriales, Castilla Univ.
Abstract :
This paper is devoted to describe several forecasting techniques to predict market prices and demands in day-ahead electric energy markets. Price forecasting is performed using time series procedures, such as ARIMA, dynamic regression and transfer function methodologies. Demand forecasting is performed using time series procedures, artificial intelligence and combinations of several methods. Relevant conclusions are drawn on the effectiveness and flexibility of the considered techniques
Keywords :
artificial intelligence; load forecasting; power engineering computing; power markets; pricing; time series; ARIMA; artificial intelligence; day-ahead electric energy markets; demand forecasting; dynamic regression; energy price forecasting; market prices; short-term demand; time series; transfer function methodologies; Artificial neural networks; Contracts; Demand forecasting; Economic forecasting; Electricity supply industry; Load forecasting; Power system modeling; Production; Time series analysis; Transfer functions; ANN; Electricity markets; demand forecasting; fuzzy logic; price forecasting; time series analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Electrotechnical Conference, 2006. MELECON 2006. IEEE Mediterranean
Conference_Location :
Malaga
Print_ISBN :
1-4244-0087-2
DOI :
10.1109/MELCON.2006.1653249