DocumentCode :
2260677
Title :
Predicting chaotic time series by ensemble self-generating neural networks
Author :
Inoue, Hirotaka ; Narihisa, Hiroyuki
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Eng., Okayama Univ. of Sci., Japan
Volume :
2
fYear :
2000
fDate :
2000
Firstpage :
231
Abstract :
We introduce ensemble self-generating neural networks (ESGNNs) for chaotic time series prediction. ESGNNs combine the ensemble averaging method with SGNNs. ESGNNs create self-generating neural trees (SGNTs) to shuffle the order of given training data independently, and the network output is averaged of all SGNT outputs. We investigate the improving capability of ESGNNs for three chaotic time series, and compare them with the backpropagation neural networks. Experimental results show that using various SGNTs through the ensemble averaging method significantly improves the predictive performance of ESGNNs on diverse chaotic time series
Keywords :
Chaos; Forecasting theory; Learning (artificial intelligence); Self-organising feature maps; Time series; chaotic time series prediction; ensemble averaging method; ensemble self-generating neural networks; learning; self-generating neural trees; Backpropagation; Chaos; Clustering algorithms; Computer networks; Humans; Neural networks; Neurons; Oscillators; Self organizing feature maps; Training data;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 2000. IJCNN 2000, Proceedings of the IEEE-INNS-ENNS International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location :
Como
ISSN :
1098-7576
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-0619-4
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IJCNN.2000.857902
Filename :
857902
Link To Document :
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