Uncertainty analysis in earthquake hazard reduction

Author

Chengye, Ian ; Ayyub, Bilal M.

Author_Institution

Dept. of Civil Eng., Maryland Univ., College Park, MD, USA

fYear

1993

fDate

25-28 Apr 1993

Firstpage

603

Lastpage

610

Abstract

The objective is to investigate uncertainties in the stages of earthquake hazard reduction. A systems approach is utilized for dealing with earthquake hazard reduction. The reduction of earthquake hazard can be modeled as a process that consists of the following stages: (1) earthquake reduction, (2) seismic design and earthquake-resistant construction, and (3) public response to earthquake hazard. Different types of uncertainty are present in these stages that include ambiguity and vagueness. Probability and fuzzy-based models are used to deal with these types of uncertainty. These models are introduced and their uses are illustrated with examples

Keywords

civil engineering computing; disasters; earthquakes; fuzzy set theory; uncertainty handling; ambiguity; earthquake hazard reduction; earthquake-resistant construction; fuzzy-based models; public response; seismic design; systems approach; uncertainties; vagueness; Bayesian methods; Civil engineering; Earthquakes; Educational institutions; Hazards; Humans; Injuries; Predictive models; Probability; Uncertainty;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 1993. Proceedings., Second International Symposium on

Conference_Location

College Park, MD

Print_ISBN

0-8186-3850-8

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ISUMA.1993.366708

Filename

366708