• DocumentCode
    239078
  • Title

    Rare event simulation in the neighborhood of a rest point

  • Author

    Dupuis, Paul ; Spiliopoulos, Konstantinos

  • Author_Institution
    Div. of Appl. Math., Brown Univ., Providence, RI, USA
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2014
  • Firstpage
    564
  • Lastpage
    573
  • Abstract
    In this paper, we construct efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo schemes for finite time exit probabilities in the presence of rest points. We focus on reversible diffusion processes with small noise that have an asymptotically stable equilibrium point. The main novelty of the work is the inclusion of rest points in the domain of interest. We motivate the construction of schemes that perform well both asymptotically and non-asymptotically. We concentrate on the regime where the noise is small and the time horizon is large. Examples and simulation results are provided.
  • Keywords
    asymptotic stability; discrete event simulation; importance sampling; asymptotically stable equilibrium point; finite time exit probabilities; importance sampling Monte Carlo schemes; rare event simulation; rest point neighborhood; reversible diffusion processes; time horizon; Equations; Estimation; Mathematical model; Monte Carlo methods; Noise; Standards; Xenon;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), 2014 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Savanah, GA
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-7484-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2014.7019921
  • Filename
    7019921