• DocumentCode
    243089
  • Title

    Spectral mixture kernel for pattern discovery and time series forecasting of electricity peak load

  • Author

    Ploysuwan, Tuchsanai

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Electr. Eng., Siam Univ. Bangkok, Bangkok, Thailand
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    22-25 Oct. 2014
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    5
  • Abstract
    In this paper, the author presents the joint of spectral mixture Gaussian and a single squared exponential kernel function which used in predictive solution of Gaussian process (GP) to find new pattern discovery and forecasting of electricity peak load demand of Thailand in next five years. Several analytical results have been evaluated in simulations such as pattern discovery performance, property of each kernel function, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the method.
  • Keywords
    Gaussian processes; load forecasting; mixture models; time series; GP; Gaussian process; MAPE; as pattern discovery performance; electricity peak load; mean absolute percentage error; single squared exponential kernel function; spectral mixture Gaussian; spectral mixture kernel; time series forecasting; Decision support systems; Financial management; Hafnium; Planning; Gaussian process; Peak load forecasting; Spectral mixture Gaussian kernel;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    TENCON 2014 - 2014 IEEE Region 10 Conference
  • Conference_Location
    Bangkok
  • ISSN
    2159-3442
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-4076-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/TENCON.2014.7022373
  • Filename
    7022373