DocumentCode
2547321
Title
Modeling of wind speed and relative humidity for Malaysia using ANNs: Approach to estimate dust deposition on PV systems
Author
Khatib, Tamer ; Mohamed, Azah ; Sopian, Kamaruzzaman
Author_Institution
Electr., Electron. & Syst. Eng., Univ. Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi, Malaysia
fYear
2011
fDate
6-7 June 2011
Firstpage
42
Lastpage
47
Abstract
This paper presents a wind speed and relative humidity predictions using feedforward artificial neural network (FFNN). Wind speed and relative humidity values obtained from weather records for Malaysia are used in training the FFNNs for estimating dust deposition on photovoltaic (PV) systems. Three statistical parameters, namely, mean absolute percentage error, MAPE, mean bias error, MBE, and root mean square error, RMSE are used to evaluate the neural networks. Based on results, the proposed neural network gives accurate prediction of hourly wind speed with MAPE, RMSE and MBE values of 43%, 0.56 and -0.35, respectively. Meanwhile, the MAPE values for predicting daily and monthly wind speed are 13.04% and 4.8%, respectively. On the other hand, the MAPE, RMSE and MBE values in predicting hourly relative humidity are 5.08%, 5.8 and -0.041, respectively. While the MAPE values for the daily and monthly predicted values are 2.66% and 0.57%.
Keywords
feedforward neural nets; humidity; mean square error methods; photovoltaic power systems; power engineering computing; Malaysia; dust deposition estimation; feedforward artificial neural network; mean absolute percentage error; mean bias error; photovoltaic systems; relative humidity; root mean square error; statistical parameters; weather records; wind speed; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Correlation; Humidity; Neurons; Predictive models; Wind speed; ANN; PV systems; dust deposition; relative speed prediction; wind speed prediction;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Power Engineering and Optimization Conference (PEOCO), 2011 5th International
Conference_Location
Shah Alam, Selangor
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0355-3
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/PEOCO.2011.5970383
Filename
5970383
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