Evaluation on the Commercialization Potential of Emerging Technologies Based on Structural Equation Model

Due to uncertainties and complexities give birth to the future of emerging technologies, conventional methods for technology evaluation are subjected to many drawbacks and limitations. After combing the relevant literature to the commercial potential of emerging technologies, this paper proposes technology commercialization success to assess the commercialization potential of emerging technologies; then, combined with the characteristics of emerging technologies, this paper establishes the evaluation index system for commercialization potential of emerging technologies, after expert scoring, uses structural equation model to revise and optimize the index system; finally, determines the weight of each index. This paper presents a new tool for determining for the evaluation on the commercialization potential of emerging technologies.