Title :
The Bifurcation and Chaos Analysis of Chinese Net Export under the Global Financial Crisis
Author :
Qin, Huanmei ; Sheng, Songcheng
Author_Institution :
Bus. Sch., Univ. of Shanghai for Sci. & Technol., Shanghai, China
Abstract :
The global financial crisis has brought the adverse impact for the normal development of the world trade, and new trade protectionism led by the United States is prevalent, the export trade of China has been seriously affected. The paper has made the research of the issue of Chinese net export trade with the application of the non-linear dynamics. By constructing the non-linear dynamics model of the system of Chinese net export trade, the paper has analyzed the stability of the system, especially the bifurcation and chaos analysis of the model. The paper has researched the trans-critical bifurcation and the prediction of chaos of the system of Chinese net export, and proposed the related policy and the suggestion on how China could go out of the plight of the weak export demand and trade currently.
Keywords :
bifurcation; chaos; econophysics; nonlinear dynamical systems; stock markets; Chinese net export; bifurcation analysis; chaos analysis; chaos prediction; chaos trans-critical bifurcation; global financial crisis; non-linear dynamics; Bifurcation; Chaos; Econometrics; Economic forecasting; Equations; Macroeconomics; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Predictive models; Protection; Stability analysis; bifurcation; chaos; net export trade; non-linear dynamics;
Conference_Titel :
Chaos-Fractals Theories and Applications, 2009. IWCFTA '09. International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Shenyang
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3853-2
DOI :
10.1109/IWCFTA.2009.77