Title :
The discovery of causal models with small samples
Author :
Dai, Honghua ; Korb, Kevin ; Wallace, Chris
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia
Abstract :
The paper examines the influence of sample size on the discovery of causal models. The experimental results illustrate the effect of larger sample sizes for reliably discovering causal models and the relevance of the strength of causal links and the complexity of the original causal model. They present indicative evidence of the superior robustness of MML (minimum message length) methods to standard significance tests in the recovery of causal links. The comparative results show that the MML causal discovery system derives a more reliable model than TETRAD II from a given data set from small samples
Keywords :
knowledge acquisition; learning (artificial intelligence); MML methods; TETRAD II; causal link strength; causal model discovery; data set; minimum message length methods; original causal model complexity; sample size effect; small samples; standard significance tests; Accuracy; Artificial intelligence; Australia; Bayesian methods; Computer science; Knowledge acquisition; Learning; Robustness; Testing; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Information Systems, 1996., Australian and New Zealand Conference on
Conference_Location :
Adelaide, SA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-3667-4
DOI :
10.1109/ANZIIS.1996.573881