Title :
Innovation risk-utility pathway method applied to dye-sensitized solar cells
Author :
Guo, Ying ; Wang, Xuefeng ; Zhu, Donghua
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Foreign Languages, Beijing Inst. of Technol., Beijing, China
Abstract :
New & Emerging Science & Technologies (“NESTs”) are increasingly studied by Future-oriented Technology Analysts because of their potentially important “emerging applications.” However, the high uncertainty and dynamics of NESTs pose special challenges to traditional forecasting tools. This paper combines methods of risk utility theory and technology path research to explore a new innovation risk-utility pathway modelling method for NESTs development. We illustrate the use of temporal change patterns and leading actor indicators, presenting illustrative results for the development of dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSC).
Keywords :
solar cells; NEST; dye-sensitized solar cells; future-oriented technology analysts; innovation risk-utility pathway method; Companies; Decision support systems; Photovoltaic cells; Renewable energy resources; Silicon; Technological innovation; Tin; Technological innovation pathway; dye-sensitized solar cells; innovation risk-utility pathway;
Conference_Titel :
Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Singapore
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0740-7
Electronic_ISBN :
2157-3611
DOI :
10.1109/IEEM.2011.6118127