• DocumentCode
    2930278
  • Title

    Forecasting traffic flow of a city by a GM(1,1) model using weakening buffer operators

  • Author

    Cui Jie ; Hu Hongliang ; Ma Hongyan ; Yang Zhengya ; Shan Daming

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Econ. & Manage., Huai Yin Inst. of Technol., Huai´an, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    15-17 Nov. 2013
  • Firstpage
    191
  • Lastpage
    193
  • Abstract
    Traffic flow forecasting plays an important role for traffic safety control. In grey forecast modeling, the smoothness of the data sequence has a significant impact on the modeling accuracy of GM (1,1) model. According to the present theories of buffer operators and some already existed weakening buffer operators, we proposed some new weakening buffer operators and prove their correctness. Meanwhile, they were compared with the existing weakening buffer operators in prediction effectiveness in traffic flow forecasting. The results shows the validity of new weakening buffer operators in enhancing the forecast accuracy of grey forecast model.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; grey systems; transportation; data sequence smoothness; grey forecast modeling; traffic flow forecasting; traffic safety control; weakening buffer operators; Accuracy; Agriculture; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Safety; Vibrations; 1) Model; Buffer Operator; Gm(1; Predictive Accuracy; Transportation Flow Forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2013 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Macao
  • ISSN
    2166-9430
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-5247-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2013.6714763
  • Filename
    6714763