Title :
A Forecasting Model Based Support Vector Machine and Particle Swarm Optimization
Author :
WU, Qi ; Yan, Hong-Sen ; Yang, Hong-Bing
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Meas. & Control of Complex Syst. of Eng., Southeast Univ., Nanjing
Abstract :
In view of the bad forecasting results of the standard epsiv-support vector machine (SVM) for product sale series with the normal distribution noise, a SVM based on the Gaussian loss function named by g-SVM is proposed. And then, a hybrid forecasting model for product sales and its parameter-choosing algorithm are presented. The results of its application to car sale forecasting indicate that the short-term forecasting method based on g-SVM is effective and feasible.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; normal distribution; sales management; support vector machines; Gaussian loss function; SVM; car sale forecasting; forecasting model; g-SVM; normal distribution noise; parameter-choosing algorithm; particle swarm optimization; product sale series; standard epsiv-support vector machine; Chaos; Gaussian distribution; Gaussian noise; Intelligent transportation systems; Marketing and sales; Particle swarm optimization; Power electronics; Predictive models; Quadratic programming; Support vector machines;
Conference_Titel :
Power Electronics and Intelligent Transportation System, 2008. PEITS '08. Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3342-1
DOI :
10.1109/PEITS.2008.37