Short-term bus load forecasting and its intended use in scheduled outage analysis

Numerous articles and papers have been published in previous years on system load forecasting. These forecasts are used primarily for scheduling generation and future system development. With the development and implementation of state estimation programs, the ability to forecast on a node or bus basis seemed feasible. This paper examines a method of forecasting bus loading using the data computed by a state estimator program. This forecast is used in conjunction with future scheduled outages in a power flow program to evaluate the security of the system.