• DocumentCode
    3048979
  • Title

    Efficiency improvement of short-term forecast for wind power

  • Author

    Bai, Xinxin ; Du, Ting ; Wang, Haifeng ; Rui, Xiaoguang ; Yin, Wenjun ; Wang, Chen ; He, Weijun

  • Author_Institution
    IBM Res. - China, Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    8-10 July 2012
  • Firstpage
    284
  • Lastpage
    287
  • Abstract
    Wind power is an increasingly used form of renewable energy. However, the inherent randomicity and intermittency of wind resource brings challenges to operators of power systems and wind farms. Therefore, preliminary forecasting of the wind power is necessary. We propose a statistical method for it based on linear regression model. Moreover, many of farms need to be worked on at the same time in some cases. If we predict every wind turbine using the same method such as linear regression, it must be time-consuming. In this paper, we partition the wind turbines into several groups according to the practical need, and choose one representative in each group. Then we predict all the turbines through transformation. Our method is applied to a real data set of one of the 3 largest wind farm operators in China.
  • Keywords
    load forecasting; regression analysis; wind power; wind turbines; efficiency improvement; linear regression model; power system; renewable energy; short-term forecast; statistical method; wind farm; wind power; wind resource intermittency; wind resource randomicity; wind turbine; History; IP networks; Reliability; Schedules; Time series analysis;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics (SOLI), 2012 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Suzhou
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-2400-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/SOLI.2012.6273547
  • Filename
    6273547