DocumentCode
3048979
Title
Efficiency improvement of short-term forecast for wind power
Author
Bai, Xinxin ; Du, Ting ; Wang, Haifeng ; Rui, Xiaoguang ; Yin, Wenjun ; Wang, Chen ; He, Weijun
Author_Institution
IBM Res. - China, Beijing, China
fYear
2012
fDate
8-10 July 2012
Firstpage
284
Lastpage
287
Abstract
Wind power is an increasingly used form of renewable energy. However, the inherent randomicity and intermittency of wind resource brings challenges to operators of power systems and wind farms. Therefore, preliminary forecasting of the wind power is necessary. We propose a statistical method for it based on linear regression model. Moreover, many of farms need to be worked on at the same time in some cases. If we predict every wind turbine using the same method such as linear regression, it must be time-consuming. In this paper, we partition the wind turbines into several groups according to the practical need, and choose one representative in each group. Then we predict all the turbines through transformation. Our method is applied to a real data set of one of the 3 largest wind farm operators in China.
Keywords
load forecasting; regression analysis; wind power; wind turbines; efficiency improvement; linear regression model; power system; renewable energy; short-term forecast; statistical method; wind farm; wind power; wind resource intermittency; wind resource randomicity; wind turbine; History; IP networks; Reliability; Schedules; Time series analysis;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Service Operations and Logistics, and Informatics (SOLI), 2012 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Suzhou
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-2400-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/SOLI.2012.6273547
Filename
6273547
Link To Document