DocumentCode
3082909
Title
Approach to power requirement by the Grey-Markov forecasting model
Author
Chen Yonjun ; Chen Yimin ; He Yong ; Min, Huang
Author_Institution
Zhejiang Jinhua Electr. Power Bur., Jinhua, China
fYear
2008
fDate
10-13 Dec. 2008
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
4
Abstract
Builds a GM(1,1) grey forecasting model to find out the fluctuating trend of the historical data series, then builds a Markov transition matrix to find out the transition probability, finally combining these two models to forecast the power requirement accurately by the historical time series data.
Keywords
Markov processes; demand forecasting; grey systems; load forecasting; power grids; time series; GM(1,1) grey forecasting model; Grey-Markov forecasting model; Markov transition matrix; historical time series data; power requirement; transition probability; Equations; Helium; Power grids; Power system modeling; Power systems; Predictive models; Probability; Power grid; demand; electric power; forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Electricity Distribution, 2008. CICED 2008. China International Conference on
Conference_Location
Guangzhou
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-3373-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-3372-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CICED.2008.5211758
Filename
5211758
Link To Document