For economic forecast: The role of knowledge system of HWMSE

Hall for Workshop of Meta-synthetic Engineering (HWMSE) aims to organically combine the human expert systems, machine systems and knowledge systems so as to realize meta-synthesis approach (proposed by a Chinese system scientist Qian, Xuesen) for complex system problem solving. The process of this approach is abstracted as meta-synthesis from qualitative hypothesis to quantitative validation consists iterative phases of qualitative synthesis and qualitative-quantitative synthesis. A project for economic system policy making in the early 1980s by BIIC is regarded as an important practical background for the formation of meta-synthesis approach. Thereafter continuous studies on meta-synthesis approach for economic forecast and policy making has been carried out. In this paper, we discuss the working pattern of HWMSE first, and then discuss object knowledge system construction and utilization, and meta-synthetic process for economic forecast and policy-making in HWMSE.