• DocumentCode
    3234072
  • Title

    Study on engineering cost forecasting of electric power construction based on time response function optimization grey model

  • Author

    Wei, Li ; Ya-nan, Yuan ; Wei-dong, Dong ; Bo, Zhang

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    27-29 May 2011
  • Firstpage
    58
  • Lastpage
    61
  • Abstract
    This paper discussed an improved gray forecasting model for electric power construction project engineering cost forecasting. A method of time response function optimization is proposed, namely using constraint condition of minimum Euclidean distance of original sequence and simulation value to determine the constant C, build time response function optimization grey forecasting model, and then make better use of the original message. Apply the improved model to forecast the main engineering cost index of electric power construction. Compare this grey forecasting method with regression forecasting method, the results show that improved model has higher prediction accuracy and the effect of actual application is better than before.
  • Keywords
    electricity supply industry; optimisation; project engineering; electric power construction; electric power industry; engineering cost index; grey forecasting model; minimum Euclidean distance; project engineering cost forecasting; regression forecasting method; time response function optimization grey model; electric power construction project; engineering cost; gray model; time response function;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Communication Software and Networks (ICCSN), 2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Xi´an
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-485-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCSN.2011.6014388
  • Filename
    6014388