Title :
Application of GA-SVM time series prediction in tax forecasting
Author :
Lu, Sheng ; Cai, Zhong-Jian ; Zhang, Xiao-Bin
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Eng., Chongqing Technol. & Bus. Univ., Chongqing, China
Abstract :
Forecasting the tax gross exactly is significant to carry on the macroscopic regulation efficiently under the market economy. Conventional linear macroscopic economic model is very difficult to hold non-linear phenomena in economic system, thus the tax forecasting error will increase. Support vector machine (SVM) has been successfully employed to solve regression problem of nonlinearity and small sample. However, the application for tax forecasting is neglected. Based on regression arithmetic of SVM, support vector machine with genetic algorithm (GA-SVM) is proposed to forecast tax, in which genetic algorithm (GA ) is used to determine the training parameters of support vector machine. The experimental results indicate that the proposed GA-SVM model can achieve great accuracy under the circumstance of small training data.
Keywords :
genetic algorithms; macroeconomics; regression analysis; support vector machines; taxation; time series; SVM; genetic algorithm; linear macroscopic economic model; market economy; regression problem; support vector machine; tax forecasting; time series prediction; Application software; Arithmetic; Artificial neural networks; Computer science; Economic forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Inspection; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Technology forecasting; GA-SVM; parameter optimization; tax forecasting; time series prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Science and Information Technology, 2009. ICCSIT 2009. 2nd IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4519-6
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4520-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICCSIT.2009.5234606