• DocumentCode
    3324765
  • Title

    Improvement of input-output correlations of electric power load forecasting by scatter search

  • Author

    Mizutani, Akihiro ; Yukawa, Tetsuya ; Numa, Kazuyuki ; Kuze, Yasuhito ; Iizaka, Tatsuya ; Yamagishi, Toshiyuki ; Matsui, Tetsuro ; Fukuyama, Yoshikazu

  • Author_Institution
    Chubu Electr. Power Co., Inc., Nagoya-shi
  • fYear
    2005
  • fDate
    6-10 Nov. 2005
  • Abstract
    This paper proposes an improving method of input-output correlations of forecasting system for electric power load by scatter search. We have developed electric power load forecasting methods using weather information at Nagoya city. For high accuracy of forecasting, input-output correlations of forecasting system must be improved using weather information of other areas. Weighted average weather information at many cities is utilized for realizing high accuracy of load forecasting. The weight rates are optimized for the highest correlation between weighted average weather information and electric power demands by scatter search. The simulation results reveal the effectiveness of the proposed method
  • Keywords
    climatology; correlation methods; demand side management; load forecasting; power system simulation; search problems; artificial neural network; electric power demands; electric power load forecasting; forecasting system; input-output correlations; scatter search; weather information; Artificial neural networks; Cities and towns; Economic forecasting; Load forecasting; Power supplies; Power system reliability; Power system simulation; Scattering; Statistical analysis; Weather forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Systems Application to Power Systems, 2005. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Arlington, VA
  • Print_ISBN
    1-59975-174-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISAP.2005.1599302
  • Filename
    1599302