DocumentCode
3364701
Title
Research on Relationship between Cycles of Electric Power and the Economy Growth in Chinese Typical Cities Based on Maximum Entropy Method
Author
Yongxiu He ; Dezhi Li ; Lifang Yang
Author_Institution
North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing
fYear
2008
fDate
4-6 Nov. 2008
Firstpage
216
Lastpage
221
Abstract
The city is playing an important role in the social economic development. The research on influencing factors, formation mechanisms and problems in the development of cities, especially the relationship between urban electric power and economy growth, is significant to make urban development strategy and complete the urban electric power planning. In this paper, based on the maximum entropy method, it gives an elementary study and discussion of interaction between the electric power and the economy cycles in Chinese typical cities. The results show that the electricity consumption and economy growth has a long-term cointegration. Their cycles are becoming longer and their main cycle is 8-9 years. According to the results, there are some differences among the cities which require each city need to have itself measures to solve problems. The cycles of electric power and the economy growth should be considered in the city load forecasting and planning to improve the precision.
Keywords
electricity supply industry; load forecasting; maximum entropy methods; power consumption; power system economics; power system planning; socio-economic effects; Chinese cities; electric power industry cycles; electricity consumption; load forecasting; long-term cointegration; maximum entropy method; social economic development; time 8 yr to 9 yr; urban electric power planning; Cities and towns; Economic forecasting; Economic indicators; Energy consumption; Entropy; Power generation economics; Spectral analysis; Strategic planning; Time domain analysis; Urban planning; China; Economy; Maximum Entropy Method; Urban electric power; cycles;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Risk Management & Engineering Management, 2008. ICRMEM '08. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Beijing
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3402-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.4
Filename
4673229
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