• DocumentCode
    3573248
  • Title

    Evidence of cyclic behaviour in historical rainfall statistics in Milan

  • Author

    Matricciani, Emilio ; Riva, Carlo

  • Author_Institution
    Dipt. di Elettron., Inf. e Bioingegneria, Milan, Italy
  • fYear
    2015
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    5
  • Abstract
    We show that significant quasi-periodic cycles are present in century-long rain rate experimental statistics in Milan (Italy): a) in the number of rainy days in a year; b) in the average duration of daily rainy time and average duration of rain events, and in 1-min rain rate complementary probability distributions (pds, for short), obtained by de-integrating historical time series of daily rainfall pds with a recently published de-integration theory. An FFT analysis shows that significant power is at periods of 14.0, 16.0, 21.0 29.0, 41.0 years. The cyclic nature of rain rate is clearly evident in the time series of 1-min rain rate exceeded annually with probability (fraction of time) 1%, 0.1%, 0.01%. The impact on communication design is direct because rain attenuation pds follow the same trend. Future work should concern other localities and the potential use of these results for predicting 1-min rain rate pds.
  • Keywords
    fast Fourier transforms; hydrological techniques; rain; statistical distributions; time series; FFT analysis; Milan; daily rainfall PDS; historical rainfall statistics; historical time series deintegration; quasi periodic cycle; rain attenuation PDS; rain event; rain rate complementary probability distribution; Attenuation; Exponential distribution; Market research; Rain; Satellites; Time series analysis; Rainfall; coomunication system design; de-integration; historical time series; quasi-periodic cycles; radio propagation; rain rate; satellite radio links; terrestrial radio links;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Antennas and Propagation (EuCAP), 2015 9th European Conference on
  • Type

    conf

  • Filename
    7228191