DocumentCode :
3580749
Title :
Decision support system for stock trading using multiple indicators decision tree
Author :
Nugroho, F. X. Satriyo D. ; Adji, Teguh Bharata ; Fauziati, Silmi
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Eng., Dept. of Electr. Eng. & Inf. Technol., Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
fYear :
2014
Firstpage :
291
Lastpage :
296
Abstract :
Decision support system using decision tree classification can be used for stock trading technical analysis. Technical analysis is a stock analysis method which solely based on interpreting stock´s price chart movement or trend. Historical stock prices and volume are used as variable input. The system is built based on financial market technical analysis indicators (Exponential Moving Average, Moving Average Convergence Divergence, Relative Strength Index, Money Flow Index, and parabolic Stop and Reverse). The proposed method is arrange indicators set into decision tree based on stock trading rules and it create buy, hold, and sell classes which represented decisions in trading. Decision classes then are analyzed for their profitability, geometric mean return, and cumulative wealth index. Furthermore sensitivity analysis is added into profitability analysis to obtain more positive value trading in decision making. The research purpose is to enhance decision making in technical stock trading. Compared to the single indicator decision tree multiple indicators offers 20% enhancement in decision making.
Keywords :
decision support systems; decision trees; financial data processing; profitability; sensitivity analysis; stock markets; cumulative wealth index; decision support system; decision tree classification; exponential moving average; financial market technical analysis indicators; geometric mean return; historical stock prices; historical stock volume; money flow index; moving average convergence divergence; multiple indicators decision tree; profitability analysis; relative strength index; sensitivity analysis; single indicator decision tree; stock trading rules; stock trading technical analysis; Decision support systems; Classification; Decision Support System; Decision Tree; Exponential Moving Average; Money Flow Index; Moving Average Convergence Divergence; Profitability Analysis; Relative Strength Index; Sensitivity Analysis; Stock Trading; Technical Analysis; parabolic Stop and Reverse;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Information Technology, Computer and Electrical Engineering (ICITACEE), 2014 1st International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-6431-4
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICITACEE.2014.7065759
Filename :
7065759
Link To Document :
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