Title :
New technology forecasting using the bass model
Author :
Valentina Dž. Radojičić;Goran Z. Marković
Author_Institution :
Traffic and Transport Engineering - University of Belgrade, Department of Telecommunication Traffic and Networks, Vojvode Stepe 305, Belgrade, Serbia
Abstract :
In this paper a brief review of new technology forecasting methods is given. We described the main influences and decision factors of the adoption of new telecommunications services/technologies. The Bass model in order to forecast the new technology adoption is applied. We demonstrate the procedure of Bass diffusion parameters estimation in a case of HDTV service.
Keywords :
"Technology forecasting","Predictive models","Demand forecasting","Economic forecasting","Technological innovation","HDTV","Telecommunication traffic","Parameter estimation","Telecommunication services","Optical fiber cables"
Conference_Titel :
Telecommunication in Modern Satellite, Cable, and Broadcasting Services, 2009. TELSIKS ´09. 9th International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4382-6
DOI :
10.1109/TELSKS.2009.5339534
