• DocumentCode
    3634083
  • Title

    New technology forecasting using the bass model

  • Author

    Valentina Dž. Radojičić;Goran Z. Marković

  • Author_Institution
    Traffic and Transport Engineering - University of Belgrade, Department of Telecommunication Traffic and Networks, Vojvode Stepe 305, Belgrade, Serbia
  • fYear
    2009
  • Firstpage
    277
  • Lastpage
    280
  • Abstract
    In this paper a brief review of new technology forecasting methods is given. We described the main influences and decision factors of the adoption of new telecommunications services/technologies. The Bass model in order to forecast the new technology adoption is applied. We demonstrate the procedure of Bass diffusion parameters estimation in a case of HDTV service.
  • Keywords
    "Technology forecasting","Predictive models","Demand forecasting","Economic forecasting","Technological innovation","HDTV","Telecommunication traffic","Parameter estimation","Telecommunication services","Optical fiber cables"
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Telecommunication in Modern Satellite, Cable, and Broadcasting Services, 2009. TELSIKS ´09. 9th International Conference on
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4382-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/TELSKS.2009.5339534
  • Filename
    5339534