Title :
Min-Max Regret Bidding Strategy for Thermal Generator Considering Price Uncertainty
Author :
Lei Fan ; Jianhui Wang ; Ruiwei Jiang ; Yongpei Guan
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. & Syst. Eng., Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
Abstract :
The electricity price volatility brings challenges to bidding strategies in the electricity markets. In this paper, we propose a minimax regret approach for a market participant to obtain an optimal bidding strategy and the corresponding self-scheduled generation plans. Motivated by recently proposed robust optimization approaches, our approach relies on the confidence intervals of price forecasts rather than point estimators. We reformulate the minimax regret model as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP), and solve it by the Benders´ decomposition algorithm. Moreover, we design a bidding strategy based on the price forecast confidence intervals to generate the offer curve. Finally, we numerically test the minimax regret approach, in comparison with the robust optimization approach, on three types of thermal generators by using real electricity price data from PJM to verify the effectiveness of our proposed approach.
Keywords :
decomposition; integer programming; linear programming; load forecasting; minimax techniques; numerical analysis; power generation economics; power generation planning; power generation scheduling; power markets; pricing; thermal power stations; Bender decomposition algorithm; MILP; PJM; electricity market; electricity price volatility; minimax regret bidding strategy; mixed-integer linear programming; numerical testing; point estimator; price forecasting; real electricity price uncertainty; robust optimization approach; self-scheduled generation planning; thermal generator; Electricity; Electricity supply industry; Generators; Optimization; Robustness; Stochastic processes; Uncertainty; Benders´ decomposition; bidding strategy; electricity markets; min-max regret; self-scheduling; uncertainty;
Journal_Title :
Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TPWRS.2014.2308477