Research on the Technological Innovation Diffusion Based on the Self-organization Theory: The Case of China Communication Industry

Technological innovation is a complex system. There are complex characteristic of openness, dynamic, nonlinearity, fluctuation and indetermination in the system. From the perspective of system theory this paper illuminates the self-organization characteristics of technological innovation system and analyzes the self-organization mechanisms of the innovation process and characteristics of instability, the multiplicity (branch), the sudden change and stochastic ldquothe fluctuationrdquo and constructs the self-organization model of technological innovation then carries on the confirmation with statistical software to the model fitting degree and the model parameters, using the data of China communication market, obtains the quite satisfied result. This model has realized the integration of the natural sciences and the social sciences, and has more in-depth understanding about the achieve mechanism and the evolutionary process of the technological innovation and diffusion.