• DocumentCode
    493450
  • Title

    Short-Term Load Forecasting Model Based on LS-SVM in Bayesian Inference

  • Author

    Zhang, Yun-yun ; Niu, Dong-xiao ; Lv, Hai-tao ; Zhang, Ye

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    7-8 March 2009
  • Firstpage
    247
  • Lastpage
    251
  • Abstract
    Short-term load forecasting is very important for power system. A combined excellent model based on least squares support vector machines in Bayesian inference is proposed in this paper to do the short-term load forecasting. Least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) are new kinds of support vector machines (SVM) which regress faster than the standard SVM, they are adopt to do the forecasting, and the parameters of model proposed are gained in the three levels of Bayesian inference. A real case is experimented with to test the performance of the model, the result shows that the proposed combined model outperforms BP network which is choose to be the comparative model, so improving the accuracy of load forecasting.
  • Keywords
    belief networks; least squares approximations; support vector machines; Bayesian inference; least squares support vector machines; short-term load forecasting model; Bayesian methods; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Power system economics; Power system management; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Bayesian inference; LS-SVM; Short-term load forecasting;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Education Technology and Computer Science, 2009. ETCS '09. First International Workshop on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan, Hubei
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-3581-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ETCS.2009.62
  • Filename
    4958765