DocumentCode
508107
Title
Travel Time Prediction Method for Urban Expressway Link Based on Artificial Neural Network
Author
Wei, Liying ; Fang, Zhiwei ; Luan, Shuo
Author_Institution
MOE Key Lab. for Urban Transp. Complex Syst. Theor. & Technol., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
Volume
1
fYear
2009
fDate
14-16 Aug. 2009
Firstpage
358
Lastpage
362
Abstract
According to the floating-car data measured from urban links, some data-processing techniques including data mending, wavelet de-noise and others are used to establish a time series of data to better reflect the original running characteristic of urban links. On this basis, the travel time forecasting researches are executed both by the BP neural network based on Bayesian Regularization algorithm and the genetic algorithm based on BP network. In this period, several prediction schemes are designed according to different network architecture and sample data. What´s more, the validity evaluation and the results contrast are performed. The experiments prove that the genetic algorithm based on BP artificial neural network is more practical and can improve the precision better.
Keywords
Bayes methods; backpropagation; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; neural nets; time series; transportation; BP neural network based; Bayesian regularization; artificial neural network; data mending; data processing; floating car data; genetic algorithm; time series; travel time forecasting; travel time prediction; urban expressway link; urban links; wavelet denoising; Artificial neural networks; Computer networks; Economic forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Global Positioning System; Laboratories; Prediction methods; Rail transportation; Roads; Telecommunication traffic; BP neural network; floating-car data; genetic neural algorithm; travel time forecast;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Natural Computation, 2009. ICNC '09. Fifth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Tianjin
Print_ISBN
978-0-7695-3736-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICNC.2009.448
Filename
5365470
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