• DocumentCode
    508107
  • Title

    Travel Time Prediction Method for Urban Expressway Link Based on Artificial Neural Network

  • Author

    Wei, Liying ; Fang, Zhiwei ; Luan, Shuo

  • Author_Institution
    MOE Key Lab. for Urban Transp. Complex Syst. Theor. & Technol., Beijing Jiaotong Univ., Beijing, China
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    14-16 Aug. 2009
  • Firstpage
    358
  • Lastpage
    362
  • Abstract
    According to the floating-car data measured from urban links, some data-processing techniques including data mending, wavelet de-noise and others are used to establish a time series of data to better reflect the original running characteristic of urban links. On this basis, the travel time forecasting researches are executed both by the BP neural network based on Bayesian Regularization algorithm and the genetic algorithm based on BP network. In this period, several prediction schemes are designed according to different network architecture and sample data. What´s more, the validity evaluation and the results contrast are performed. The experiments prove that the genetic algorithm based on BP artificial neural network is more practical and can improve the precision better.
  • Keywords
    Bayes methods; backpropagation; forecasting theory; genetic algorithms; neural nets; time series; transportation; BP neural network based; Bayesian regularization; artificial neural network; data mending; data processing; floating car data; genetic algorithm; time series; travel time forecasting; travel time prediction; urban expressway link; urban links; wavelet denoising; Artificial neural networks; Computer networks; Economic forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Global Positioning System; Laboratories; Prediction methods; Rail transportation; Roads; Telecommunication traffic; BP neural network; floating-car data; genetic neural algorithm; travel time forecast;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Natural Computation, 2009. ICNC '09. Fifth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Tianjin
  • Print_ISBN
    978-0-7695-3736-8
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNC.2009.448
  • Filename
    5365470