• DocumentCode
    527512
  • Title

    Analysis of power load combination forecasting model based on improved particle swarm optimization

  • Author

    Niu, Dongxiao ; Wang, Hanmei ; Wei, Yanan

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
  • Volume
    5
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    10-12 Aug. 2010
  • Firstpage
    2591
  • Lastpage
    2594
  • Abstract
    As for the particularity of the power load forecasting, this paper presents a new power load combination forecasting model, that is, first select several basic load forecasting methods to forecast the results, and then select an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to optimize the weights of single-forecast results. According to the weights, calculate the weighted average of the single-forecast results, and the obtained value is the load forecast value. The empirical results show that the combination forecasting model combines the advantages of various methods, and greatly improves the accuracy of power load forecasting.
  • Keywords
    load forecasting; particle swarm optimisation; improved particle swarm optimization; power load combination forecasting model; single-forecast results; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Optimization; Particle swarm optimization; Predictive models; combination forecasting model; improved particle swarm optimization algorithm; power load forecasting; single-forecast method; weight;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Natural Computation (ICNC), 2010 Sixth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Yantai, Shandong
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5958-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNC.2010.5583106
  • Filename
    5583106