DocumentCode
527512
Title
Analysis of power load combination forecasting model based on improved particle swarm optimization
Author
Niu, Dongxiao ; Wang, Hanmei ; Wei, Yanan
Author_Institution
Dept. Econ. & Manage., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Volume
5
fYear
2010
fDate
10-12 Aug. 2010
Firstpage
2591
Lastpage
2594
Abstract
As for the particularity of the power load forecasting, this paper presents a new power load combination forecasting model, that is, first select several basic load forecasting methods to forecast the results, and then select an improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm to optimize the weights of single-forecast results. According to the weights, calculate the weighted average of the single-forecast results, and the obtained value is the load forecast value. The empirical results show that the combination forecasting model combines the advantages of various methods, and greatly improves the accuracy of power load forecasting.
Keywords
load forecasting; particle swarm optimisation; improved particle swarm optimization; power load combination forecasting model; single-forecast results; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Mathematical model; Optimization; Particle swarm optimization; Predictive models; combination forecasting model; improved particle swarm optimization algorithm; power load forecasting; single-forecast method; weight;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2010 Sixth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Yantai, Shandong
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-5958-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICNC.2010.5583106
Filename
5583106
Link To Document