Title :
Risk model in fuzzy random environments
Author :
Huang, Tao ; Diao, Jinghua
Author_Institution :
Naval Univ. of Eng., Tianjin, China
Abstract :
In this paper, we consider a risk model in which the claim number process is characterized as a fuzzy random Poisson process and the individual claim amount is assumed to be a fuzzy random variable. The mean chance of the ultimate ruin is researched. The expressions of the mean chance of the ultimate ruin are obtained for zero initial surplus and arbitrary initial surplus. The results obtained in this paper coincide with those in stochastic case when the fuzzy random variables degenerate to random variables. Finally, a numerical example is presented.
Keywords :
fuzzy systems; random processes; risk analysis; stochastic processes; aggregate claim; fuzzy random Poisson process; fuzzy random variable; initial surplus; risk model; ultimate ruin; Gold;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Computing and Intelligent Systems (ICIS), 2010 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Xiamen
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6582-8
DOI :
10.1109/ICICISYS.2010.5658344