Title :
Prediction of Energy Consumption and Production in HeilongJiang Province Based on GM (1,1) Model
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Econ. & Manage., Northeast Agric. Univ., Harbin, China
Abstract :
The economy and social development in HeilongJiang province is greatly influenced by energy production and consumption. In this paper, by using grey model (1,1), the primary energy consumption and production and electricity power consumption and production are respectively predicted. And it is concluded that when concerning primary energy, there will be evidently insufficient in its production, so that the alternative sources of energy should be developed as soon as possible. While in the electricity power, the future production not only exceeds the consumption but also their differences seem to be larger. So, the electricity production should be developed at a stable speed and the adjustment to production structure should be focused on.
Keywords :
economics; electric power generation; electricity supply industry; energy consumption; energy resources; grey systems; HeilongJiang Province; economic development; energy consumption prediction; energy production prediction; grey model; primary energy consumption; Accuracy; Electricity; Energy consumption; Equations; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Production; 1); GM (1; consumption; electricity power; primary energy; production;
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenzhen
Print_ISBN :
978-1-61284-450-3
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2011.69