DocumentCode
569804
Title
Comparison of Macro Prediction for Traffic Accident between Beijing and Tianjin
Author
Ling, Wang ; Yi, Zheng
Author_Institution
Mil. Transp. Dept., Acad. of Mil. Transp., Tianjin, China
fYear
2012
fDate
17-19 Aug. 2012
Firstpage
1349
Lastpage
1352
Abstract
Road traffic safety has been widespreadly concerned in recent years. Beijing and Tianjin are two municipalities in North China. Road congestion and road traffic safety in Beijing and Tianjin have become increasingly prominent. This paper takes traffic accident in two cities as the study objects and makes a comparison of macro prediction for traffic accident in Beijing and Tianjin. Based on the viewpoints of grey system theory, traffic accident is a grey dynamic system. So this paper will use grey system theory and set up the macro prediction model GM(1,1).This comparison study provides good insights for traffic accident macro prediction in metropolis.
Keywords
grey systems; road accidents; road safety; road traffic; Beijing; Tianjin; grey dynamic system; grey system theory; road congestion; road traffic safety; traffic accident macro prediction; Accidents; Accuracy; Economics; Market research; Predictive models; Roads; 1); macro prediction; model GM (1; traffic accident;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Computational and Information Sciences (ICCIS), 2012 Fourth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Chongqing
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-2406-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICCIS.2012.105
Filename
6301415
Link To Document