• DocumentCode
    569804
  • Title

    Comparison of Macro Prediction for Traffic Accident between Beijing and Tianjin

  • Author

    Ling, Wang ; Yi, Zheng

  • Author_Institution
    Mil. Transp. Dept., Acad. of Mil. Transp., Tianjin, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    17-19 Aug. 2012
  • Firstpage
    1349
  • Lastpage
    1352
  • Abstract
    Road traffic safety has been widespreadly concerned in recent years. Beijing and Tianjin are two municipalities in North China. Road congestion and road traffic safety in Beijing and Tianjin have become increasingly prominent. This paper takes traffic accident in two cities as the study objects and makes a comparison of macro prediction for traffic accident in Beijing and Tianjin. Based on the viewpoints of grey system theory, traffic accident is a grey dynamic system. So this paper will use grey system theory and set up the macro prediction model GM(1,1).This comparison study provides good insights for traffic accident macro prediction in metropolis.
  • Keywords
    grey systems; road accidents; road safety; road traffic; Beijing; Tianjin; grey dynamic system; grey system theory; road congestion; road traffic safety; traffic accident macro prediction; Accidents; Accuracy; Economics; Market research; Predictive models; Roads; 1); macro prediction; model GM (1; traffic accident;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Computational and Information Sciences (ICCIS), 2012 Fourth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Chongqing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-2406-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICCIS.2012.105
  • Filename
    6301415