Exploring the uncertainties of probabilistic LV network analysis

Increased interest in the analysis of low voltage (LV) power distribution networks using probabilistic and long period time-series techniques has arisen due to the anticipated growth of low-carbon technology and the advent of the Smart Grid. Recent approaches are reviewed and the uncertainty introduced by the underlying assumptions explored. A specific case study analysis of electric vehicle (EV) penetration on a generic UK distribution network is used to investigate the effect of key assumptions on the results of a probabilistic analysis.