DocumentCode
597333
Title
Metamodeling of simulations consisting of time series inputs and outputs
Author
Rosen, Scott L. ; Saunders, C.P. ; Guharay, Samar K.
Author_Institution
MITRE Corp., McLean, VA, USA
fYear
2012
fDate
9-12 Dec. 2012
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
12
Abstract
Long run times of a simulation can be a hindrance when an analyst is attempting to use the model for timely system analysis and optimization. In this situation, techniques such as simulation metamodeling should be considered to expedite the end user´s intended analysis procedure. A difficult problem arises in the application of metamodeling when the simulation inputs and outputs are not of a single value, but constitute a time series, a phenomenon that is seen repeatedly in the area of financial simulations and many naturally occurring events. This paper provides a method to develop a mapping between multiple time series inputs of a simulation and a single Figure of Merit (FoM) of the system across a given time period of interest. In addition, this paper discusses a means for an end user to define a tailored FoM with respect to their own specific system beliefs and objectives in the case of multiple simulation outputs.
Keywords
financial management; modelling; simulation; time series; FoM; figure of merit; financial simulations; simulation input; simulation metamodeling; simulation output; time series; Analytical models; Biological neural networks; Computational modeling; Metamodeling; Time series analysis;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), Proceedings of the 2012 Winter
Conference_Location
Berlin
ISSN
0891-7736
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-4779-2
Electronic_ISBN
0891-7736
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2012.6464991
Filename
6464991
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