Title :
Fluctuation analysis of the three agent groups herding model
Author :
Gontis, Vygintas ; Kononovicius, Aleksejus
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Theor. Phys. & Astron., Vilnius Univ., Vilnius, Lithuania
Abstract :
We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar composition of the agents. We demonstrate how the sophisticated statistical features of the absolute return in the financial markets can be reproduced by extending the herding interaction of the agents and introducing the third agent state. As well we consider possible extension of proposed herding model introducing additional exogenous noise. Such consistent microscopic and macroscopic model precisely reproduces empirical power law statistics of the return in the financial markets.
Keywords :
differential equations; fluctuations; socio-economic effects; stochastic processes; stock markets; agent groups herding model; complex socio-economic systems; empirical power law statistics; exogenous noise; financial markets; fluctuation analysis; herding interaction; macroscopic model; microscopic model; statistical features; stochastic differential equations; third agent state; Economics; Equations; Mathematical model; Microscopy; Noise; Numerical models; Stochastic processes;
Conference_Titel :
Noise and Fluctuations (ICNF), 2013 22nd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Montpellier
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-0668-0
DOI :
10.1109/ICNF.2013.6578896