DocumentCode
677679
Title
Could simulation optimization have prevented 2012 central Florida election lines?
Author
Jingsheng Li ; Allen, Tandra T. ; Akah, Kimiebi
Author_Institution
Digital Manuf. Res. Lab., Beijing Inst. of Technol., Beijing, China
fYear
2013
fDate
8-11 Dec. 2013
Firstpage
2088
Lastpage
2096
Abstract
In this article, we attempt to simulate the election lines in four central Florida counties in the 2012 presidential election. To do this, we estimate the numbers of booths at all locations and the service times using data about poll closing times and numbers of ballot items at all 479 locations. Then, we investigate the relevance of an optimization formulation in which the maximum expected waiting time at all locations is minimized by reapportioning voting booth resources. We solve the formulation using a heuristic from the literature and (tentatively) conclude that, according to our estimates and assumptions, none of the locations would have been expected to close after 9:50 pm if simulation optimization had been applied to allocate voting booths. Further, our model indicates that, by applying simulation optimization compared with proportional allocation, the expected latest poll closing time reduces from approximately 6.8 hours to less than 2.5 hours after closing time.
Keywords
government; minimax techniques; minimisation; politics; simulation; ballot items; central Florida election lines; maximum expected waiting time; optimization formulation; poll closing times; presidential election; simulation optimization; voting booth resource allocation; Abstracts; Modeling; Nominations and elections; Optimization; Predictive models; Resource management;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), 2013 Winter
Conference_Location
Washington, DC
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-2077-8
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2013.6721586
Filename
6721586
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