Toward a projection model for estimation of end of life aircrafts

Dealing with retired aircrafts considering the environmental, social and economic impacts is becoming an emerging problem in the aviation industry in near future. Estimation of the volume of end-of-life aircrafts (ELAs) has a great impact on the implementing of the sustainable policies and passing new regulations. There is few research carried out about the prediction of the number of End of life vehicles. This study, with reviewing the existing models, addresses the challenges for estimation of retired aircrafts and proposes an integrated approach for prediction of ELAs.