Title :
Predicting the likelihood of heart failure with a multi level risk assessment using decision tree
Author :
Aljaaf, A.J. ; Al-Jumeily, D. ; Hussain, A.J. ; Dawson, T. ; Fergus, P. ; Al-Jumaily, M.
Author_Institution :
Appl. Comput. Res. Group, Liverpool John Moores Univ., Liverpool, UK
fDate :
April 29 2015-May 1 2015
Abstract :
Heart failure comes in the top causes of death worldwide. The number of deaths from heart failure exceeds the number of deaths resulting from any other causes. Recent studies have focused on the use of machine learning techniques to develop predictive models that are able to predict the incidence of heart failure. The majority of these studies have used a binary output class, in which the prediction would be either the presence or absence of heart failure. In this study, a multi-level risk assessment of developing heart failure has been proposed, in which a five risk levels of heart failure can be predicted using C4.5 decision tree classifier. On the other hand, we are boosting the early prediction of heart failure through involving three main risk factors with the heart failure data set. Our predictive model shows an improvement on existing studies with 86.5% sensitivity, 95.5% specificity, and 86.53% accuracy.
Keywords :
cardiology; classification; data analysis; data mining; decision trees; learning (artificial intelligence); medical diagnostic computing; medical disorders; patient diagnosis; risk analysis; C4.5 decision tree classifier; binary output class; early heart failure prediction boosting; heart failure absence prediction; heart failure data set; heart failure development risk assessment; heart failure incidence prediction; heart failure likelihood prediction; heart failure presence prediction; heart failure risk factor; heart failure risk level prediction; machine learning; multilevel risk assessment; predictive model accuracy; predictive model development; predictive model sensitivity; predictive model specificity; Accuracy; Decision trees; Heart; Obesity; Predictive models; Sensitivity; data mining; decision tree; heart failure; prediction and classification;
Conference_Titel :
Technological Advances in Electrical, Electronics and Computer Engineering (TAEECE), 2015 Third International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beirut
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-5679-1
DOI :
10.1109/TAEECE.2015.7113608