DocumentCode
759344
Title
Sensitivity analysis in influence diagrams
Author
Nielsen, Thomas Dyhre ; Jensen, Finn V.
Author_Institution
Dept. of Comput. Sci., Aalborg Univ., Denmark
Volume
33
Issue
2
fYear
2003
fDate
3/1/2003 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage
223
Lastpage
234
Abstract
The influence diagram framework serves as a powerful modeling tool for symmetric decision problems with a single decision maker. However, one of the main difficulties when representing decision problems using influence diagrams is eliciting the utilities and the probabilities. This makes it desirable to be able to investigate: 1) how sensitive the solution is to variations in some utility or probability parameter, and 2) how robust the solution is to joint variations over a set of parameters. In this paper, we propose a general algorithm for performing these types of analysis.
Keywords
decision theory; diagrams; probability; sensitivity analysis; influence diagrams; probabilities; probability parameter; sensitivity analysis; single decision maker; solution robustness; symmetric decision problems; utilities; Algorithm design and analysis; Delta modulation; Helium; Information analysis; Performance analysis; Probability distribution; Robustness; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
1083-4427
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TSMCA.2003.811116
Filename
1219460
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