• DocumentCode
    763166
  • Title

    The big software chill

  • Author

    Lewis, Ted

  • Author_Institution
    Naval Postgraduate Sch., Monterey, CA, USA
  • Volume
    29
  • Issue
    3
  • fYear
    1996
  • fDate
    3/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    12
  • Lastpage
    14
  • Abstract
    If a technology (or idea) does not achieve mainstream status quickly enough, it dies. Video on demand (interactive TV), the information superhighway (ISDN), and massively parallel supercomputing may be examples. These ideas are okay, but they could die for lack of legs. At present, consumers are simply shunning them, illustrating the power of Information Age mainstreaming. A corollary to this law is that a technology (or idea) thrives, even if it is a bad technology or idea, as long as it quickly achieves mainstream status. Microsoft Windows, Java, C++ and others illustrate the overwhelming power of mainstreaming. It´s positive feedback. Simply put, the rich get richer, especially when they hold a monopoly. In the Information Age, the definition of wealth includes domination of standards as well as having cash in the bank. The problem with software is that software companies don´t get paid unless they reap a profit within the time limit set by the mainstreaming law. Commercial software companies have to hit the big time, or else
  • Keywords
    computer software; socio-economic effects; software houses; Information Age; consumer pressure; mainstream status; monopoly; positive feedback; profit; software companies; standards; technology obsolescence; wealth; Computer aided software engineering; Computer industry; Hardware; Interference; Internet; Moore´s Law; Personal communication networks; Productivity; Programming; Software performance;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Computer
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9162
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/2.485889
  • Filename
    485889