Title: On-Line Analysis of Reactor Noise Using Time Series Analysis

A method to allow use of time series analysis for on-line noise analysis has been developed. On-line analysis of noise in nuclear power reactors has been limited primarily to spectral analysis and related frequency domain techniques. Time series analysis has many distinct advantages over spectral analysis in the automated processing of reactor noise. However, fitting an autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) model to time series data involves non-linear least squares estimation. Unless a high speed, general purpose computer is available, the calculations become too time consuming for on-line applications. To eliminate this problem, a special purpose algorithm was developed for fitting ARMA models. While it is based on a combination of steepest descent and Taylor series linearization, properties of the ARMA model are used so that the auto- and cross-correlation functions can be used to eliminate the need for estimating derivatives. The number of calculations, per iteration varies linearly with the model order, rather than quadratically in the standard approach. This can represent a significant savings for high order models. In addition, the bulk, of the calculations could be performed using fixed point arithmetic. This represents another increase in speed, and would allow building a low cost, high speed processor for analyzing a large number of channels of data.