• DocumentCode
    983175
  • Title

    The impact of instability in latin and South America

  • Author

    Ellis, R. Evan

  • Author_Institution
    Booz, Allen, & Hamilton, McLean, VA, USA
  • Volume
    23
  • Issue
    1
  • fYear
    2004
  • Firstpage
    187
  • Lastpage
    193
  • Abstract
    This article uses a system dynamics methodology to examine the geopolitical significance of narcoterrorism dynamics currently observed in Colombia and the Andean Ridge region. Through influence diagrams, it presents a systemic analysis of the phenomenon. It argues that the interaction between drug production, insurgency is a system characterized by dynamic instability. Moreover, it suggests that the extensive quantity of positive feedback relations in this system could allow the current violence and social chaos could spread across the region and overwhelm the capability of governments to respond, more rapidly than a traditional analysis of narcoterrorism and other regional phenomenon suggests.
  • Keywords
    biohazards; terrorism; Andean Ridge region; Latin America; South America; bioterrorism; drug production; dynamic instability; dynamics methodology; geopolitical significance; insurgency; narcoterrorism; narcoterrorism dynamics; positive feedback relations; social chaos; system dynamics methodology; Arm; Chaos; Drugs; Feedback; Government; Production systems; Protection; South America; Terrorism; Weapons; Latin America; Models, Theoretical; Political Systems; Security Measures; Social Environment; Social Problems; South America; Terrorism;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Engineering in Medicine and Biology Magazine, IEEE
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0739-5175
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/MEMB.2004.1297191
  • Filename
    1297191