DocumentCode
983175
Title
The impact of instability in latin and South America
Author
Ellis, R. Evan
Author_Institution
Booz, Allen, & Hamilton, McLean, VA, USA
Volume
23
Issue
1
fYear
2004
Firstpage
187
Lastpage
193
Abstract
This article uses a system dynamics methodology to examine the geopolitical significance of narcoterrorism dynamics currently observed in Colombia and the Andean Ridge region. Through influence diagrams, it presents a systemic analysis of the phenomenon. It argues that the interaction between drug production, insurgency is a system characterized by dynamic instability. Moreover, it suggests that the extensive quantity of positive feedback relations in this system could allow the current violence and social chaos could spread across the region and overwhelm the capability of governments to respond, more rapidly than a traditional analysis of narcoterrorism and other regional phenomenon suggests.
Keywords
biohazards; terrorism; Andean Ridge region; Latin America; South America; bioterrorism; drug production; dynamic instability; dynamics methodology; geopolitical significance; insurgency; narcoterrorism; narcoterrorism dynamics; positive feedback relations; social chaos; system dynamics methodology; Arm; Chaos; Drugs; Feedback; Government; Production systems; Protection; South America; Terrorism; Weapons; Latin America; Models, Theoretical; Political Systems; Security Measures; Social Environment; Social Problems; South America; Terrorism;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Engineering in Medicine and Biology Magazine, IEEE
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0739-5175
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/MEMB.2004.1297191
Filename
1297191
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