پديد آورندگان :
حسني نژاد، آسيه دانشگاه اصفهان - دانشكدة علوم جغرافيايي و برنامه ريزي - گروه جغرافيا و برنامه ريزي روستايي , تقديسي، احمد دانشگاه اصفهان - دانشكدة علوم جغرافيايي و برنامه ريزي - گروه جغرافيا و برنامه ريزي روستايي , نوري، هدايت‌اله دانشگاه اصفهان - دانشكدة علوم جغرافيايي و برنامه ريزي - گروه جغرافيا و برنامه ريزي روستايي , اكبريان رونيزي، سعيدرضا دانشگاه شيراز - دانشكدة اقتصاد، مديريت و علوم اجتماعي - گروه جغرافيا
چكيده لاتين :
1. Introduction
Earthquakes are natural disasters that take place during a short time and may bring about considerable damage. In Iran, rural areas are significantly subject to damages caused by earthquakes. Due to their close connections to the natural environment and limited capacity against environmental threats, rural communities are more vulnerable to environmental risks such as earthquakes. Subsequently, during the past few decades, special attention has been paid to the identification and presentation of essential strategies to confront the earthquake phenomenon in different scales, at both global and domestic levels, in the form of new management methods such as risk management. Izadkhast region of Zarrindasht town is located in Chah Reza Fault, in the middle of the high seismic area of Zagros; therefore, the region is significantly subject to earthquakes. The occurrence of this natural disasters have brought about considerable damages to human settlements in this region, particularly in rural areas, times and times again. As a result, the present study seeks to examine the views of local settlers and investigate the vulnerability status of rural communities to earthquake risks; to this end, it is attempted to
provide answers to this question: Have risk management indices been effective on
reducing the vulnerability of rural settlements?
2. Theoretical Framework
In the recent years, there has been a paradigm shift in the majority of studies on disasters and risks from “reducing damages and casualties” to a more comprehensive model involving risk management based upon social systems and social problem-solving approaches. It should be noted that the science of risk management has offered numerous potential and practical capabilities in this regard; consequently, it is considered as a necessity with regards to the subject at hand. In a study conducted as a comprehensive plan for earthquake risk management in Mumbai, Sinha, Goyal, Shinde and Meena (2012) assessed the risks and the reduction of damages. Their results showed the significant effect of construction type and economic characteristics on reducing the vulnerability of the region. Wen-co and Ling (2013) evaluated the earthquake risks and efficient management strategies of earthquake risks for the Heitech Region in Taiwan. According to the results, an efficient risk management strategy should be designed in order to calculate the total costs of annual earthquake risks. At the same time, Dixit, Yatabe, Dahal and Bhandary (2013) examined the initiatives for earthquake risk management at Kathmandu Valley and showed that the major factors that
contribute to the vulnerability of the region to earthquakes include lack of trained
personnel, building inspectors, engineers and architects to ensure earthquake safety
improvement. In Iran, Roumiani, Einali and Salehi Mishani (2015) investigated the role of management in the development of rural communities in confronting earthquake risks in Zagheh Village, Khoramabad Town. Based on their results and the views of rural authorities, the presence of weaknesses in economic capacities and strengths and hence, the low income of rural residents at the region have reduced their ability instr engthening the houses located at their settlements.
3. Method The present applied study was conducted using the descriptive-analytical method. In order to obtain the people’s opinions to assess risk management at earthquake-stricken areas, document and field studies were carried out using instruments including questionnaires and interviews. The total population of the study included 2,381 rural households living in Izadkhast region and seven villages located at the vicinity of fault including Mazaijan, Darreh Shour, Golkouyeh, Dehno, Chah Zebar, Bon Dasht, and Panj Chah. The sample population was calculated as 350 households using Cochran’s formula. Data were analyzed via descriptive and inferential methods such as one-sample t test, Freidman, and multi-variable regression.
4. Results and Discussion
According to the results obtained from the examination of the vulnerability status
of rural communities to earthquake risks and Friedman test, the calculated mean
value was below average and the significance level was below 0.05. Therefore, the
vulnerability of the sample community to earthquakes is confirmed as significant.
The results obtained from the examination of the most important factors of rural
settlements’ vulnerability to earthquakes according to Friedman test suggested a
significant difference among the mean values of economic, social, institutional, and
physical-environmental vulnerability variables at 0.01 alpha level. Meanwhile, the
highest and lowest rating averages belonged to physical-environmental and
institutional variables, respectively. The regression method was used to examine the effect of risk management indices on reducing vulnerability. The results
demonstrated that the variable of buildings’ resistance against earthquakes had the
highest effect on reducing vulnerability of the studied region.
5. Conclusion
The present study was conducted with the purpose of examining the role of earthquake risk management in reducing the vulnerability of rural communities in Zarin Dasht Town. The findings of the study showed that the extent of vulnerability to earthquakes is below average at all dimensions including economic, social, institutional, and physicalenvironmental. The following recommendations are listed below based on the obtained results in line with reducing the damages caused by earthquake risk within the framework of risk management indices:
1. Empowerment of local people and authorities in various affairs prior to earthquakes; 2. Reinforcement of vulnerable buildings using the capabilities of local authorities; 3. Improving awareness, particularly awareness of the time of earthquake occurrence using local and modern scientific capacities.
