تحليل روند نرخ ارز در اثر سياست آزادسازي و تاثير آن بر قيمت گوشت مرغ

This research is a study of exchange rate related to liberalization policy in Iran and its effect on hen meat price. Analysis approach is time series and Johanson cointegration. The results show that by continuing the liberalization policy, in the same situation of past time, exchange rate (dollar) will be reduced in short-run at the future months. Cointegration analysis increase that there is a equilibrium long-run relation between exchange rate and hen meat price. For short-run analysis we estimate VECM model. The error correction term coefficient in this model is 0.58 that means about 58 percent of hen meat price deviations are adjusted toward long-run equilibrium.